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Eli Lilly LLY cuts 2024 revenue outlook on weight loss drugs

Posted on January 15, 2025




The Eli Lilly & Co. brand on the firm’s Digital Well being Innovation Hub facility in Singapore, on Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024. 

Ore Huiying | Bloomberg | Getty Photographs

Eli Lilly reduce its income steering on Tuesday because it stated demand for its weight reduction and diabetes medication wouldn’t meet its lofty expectations.

The drugmaker’s shares closed greater than 6% decrease on Tuesday.

Eli Lilly stated it now expects full-year 2024 income of about $45 billion. That is decrease than the $45.4 billion to $46 billion the corporate anticipated in October. The brand new outlook would nonetheless mark a 32% bounce in income from the prior yr.

Eli Lilly has been racing to fulfill hovering demand for its diabetes remedy Mounjaro and weight problems drug Zepbound, investing billions to ramp up its manufacturing capability of the corporate’s booming so-called incretin medication. The efforts look like paying off: The Meals and Drug Administration in December reaffirmed its choice to declare the U.S. scarcity of tirzepatide — the lively ingredient in each medication — over.

In an interview with CNBC on Tuesday, Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks stated the corporate has “tons of provide coming on-line” and “that form of development will seemingly proceed.”

He additionally famous that the corporate will add extra manufacturing capability and expects to supply at the least 60% extra sellable doses of its incretin medication within the first half of the yr in contrast with the identical interval in 2024.

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For the fourth quarter, Eli Lilly expects $13.5 billion in income. The full contains about $3.5 billion for Mounjaro and $1.9 billion for Zepbound.

Wall Avenue had anticipated fourth-quarter and full-year income of $13.94 billion and $45.49 billion, respectively, in line with analysts surveyed by LSEG.

The outlook reduce comes as Eli Lilly competes with Novo Nordisk and different, smaller rivals for share of the exploding weight reduction and diabetes drug market. Eli Lilly is growing an weight problems capsule that may be extra handy for sufferers and simpler to fabricate, and Ricks expects it to be permitted as quickly as early subsequent yr.

“Whereas the U.S. incretin market grew 45% in comparison with the identical quarter final yr, our earlier steering had anticipated even sooner acceleration of development for the quarter. That, along with lower-than-expected channel stock at year-end, contributed to our This fall outcomes,” Ricks stated in an announcement.

The drugmaker additionally stated it expects gross sales of $58 billion to $61 billion in fiscal 2025.

Eli Lilly is anticipated to report full quarterly outcomes on Feb. 6.

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